Throughout the initial two months of 2024, the US Trisodium Phosphate market experienced notable price escalations attributed to mounting production costs and limited pre-procured inventory. Efforts to alleviate potential supply disruptions, such as deploying additional tanks in nearby regions like Philadelphia for shipments to Baltimore, were undertaken, although prolonged logistical hurdles remained a concern, particularly impacting Feedstock Soda Ash pricing.
Traders and purchasers in the northeastern US voiced apprehensions regarding depleted inventory levels in tanks during the first quarter, despite marginal improvements in recent weeks. Adjustments in pricing strategies were made based on warehouse stock availability, while intermittent adverse weather conditions disrupted terminal operations, prompting cautious contingency planning. Despite modest downstream demand, traders opted to elevate product prices to safeguard their margins.
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In the APAC region during Q1 2024, the Trisodium Phosphate market encountered notable price fluctuations, predominantly displaying a downward trajectory. Several factors influenced market dynamics, including heightened raw material costs, specifically Sodium Carbonate, leading to increased production expenditures. Additionally, dwindling demand from downstream sectors resulted in surplus inventory levels, compelling sellers to offer discounts, thereby exerting downward pressure on prices.China witnessed significant price fluctuations in the Trisodium Phosphate market, influenced by rising costs of feedstock Sodium Carbonate and diminished international demand. Nevertheless, the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) remained stable, indicating expansion within the manufacturing sector.
With regard to seasonality, Q1 2024 saw a decline in prices compared to the corresponding quarter of the previous year, with a notable percentage decrease. However, there was a marginal uptick in prices compared to the preceding quarter of 2024. Conclusively, the closing price for Trisodium Phosphate in China at the end of the quarter stood at USD 480/MT FOB Qingdao. Overall, the pricing landscape for Trisodium Phosphate in the APAC region during Q1 2024 leaned towards negativity, driven by heightened production costs and dwindling demand.
In Europe, during the initial quarter of 2024, the Trisodium Phosphate market in Germany grappled with logistical disruptions arising from unrest in the Red Sea region and reduced downstream activity. German producers adjusted production rates due to disrupted supply chains since February 2024, particularly wary of impending closures of German ports as Easter holidays approached in March 2024.
The export value of Trisodium Phosphate surged in January 2024, signaling heightened production activities. Furthermore, the persistent impact of a sluggish global and Eurozone economy, coupled with consistently high interest rates, fostered caution among downstream industries, contributing to subdued end-use demand for Trisodium Phosphate in the European market during this period.
Amidst supply disruptions and reduced downstream production rates, market participants in the Soda Ash industry adopted cautious supply management strategies and offered discounts to prevent stockpiling. Notably, the European Trisodium Phosphate market experienced substantial growth in the preceding two months of 2024, driven by lower upstream prices and ample product availability. However, concerns regarding supply emerged in March 2024, particularly with German ports facing potential closures during Easter holidays.
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